Week 1 NFL Best Bets

As part of the Perfect Spiral 2023 season, I, Richard Jones, will be giving you best bets each and every week during the NFL season. You may think that Week 1 in the NFL is very difficult to bet on, but it’s easier than you think if you follow the the signs. We know you all want to get straight to it, so lets go!

Favorite of the Week

Washington Commanders (-7) vs. Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals are starting a quarterback who has been with the team for less than a month. The Commanders have new found hope with a new ownership and have sold out the first game for the first time in forever. Dotson and McLaurin should feast while the Washington defensive line could give Arizona’s offensive line fits.

Underdog of the Week

Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) vs. San Francisco 49ers

Here is a stat for you - the Steelers have a .650 winning percentage on opening weekend. Mike Tomlin has these guys prepared. Last season, the 49ers went on the road and lost to a Chicago Bears team that would win three games all year. While a week one loss doesn’t define your season, the mix of Purdy’s first game off the UCL injury plus traveling across the country bodes well for Pittsburgh.

Game I Love

Detroit Lions (+5.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs

I usually don’t go against Mahomes, but the fact that Chris Jones and Travis Kelce are both unlikely to suit up changes things a bit. When Chris Jones is absent, the Chiefs are ranked 28th in defense and are in the bottom third of QB pressure rate. Missing Kelce takes away Mahomes top option in a game where he will have to incorporate new weapons into the offense. We already know the Lions will come ready to play, and With Jared Goff not having to worry as much with no Jones, I can see this being a field goal game.

Best Prop Bets for Week 1

Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (+120)

Aaron Jones anytime touchdown (+145)

Kenny Pickett OVER 207.5 passing yards (-114)

Simply put, the Patriots defense, although good, isn’t containing Hurts for four quarters. If the Packers want a chance to win, they will put the ball in Aaron Jones hands. And we already spoke about Pittsburgh and how they’re going to cover the spread. Pickett will be one of the main reasons.

Join me next week for my Week 1 recap and Week 2 best bets!