Week 11 NFL Picks

Thanksgiving is coming up! and when we all gather around the table, we usually share what we are thankful for. Some people mention they are thankful for family, friends, their kids etc. I am thankful for legalized gambling int he tri-state area. So for the next two weeks, I will be stuffing my face watching my bets hit harmoniously. Let’s get right to it!

GAME PICKS!!!

Cowboys (-10.5) @ Panthers

Steelers (+2.5) @ Browns

Chargers (-3) @ Packers

All roadies this week. I should’ve taken the Cowboys last week, but was afraid of the spread. I’m not backing down this week. The Cowboys should win this game comfortably. As for Pittsburgh, they should feast against a rookie QB in DTR. This game will be close because the Steelers offense is porous, but I think the defense can carry this one. And for the Chargers, a tough loss to Detroit last week - they pick themselves back up this week in a game they need to have over the Packers.

PROP

Austin Ekeler anytime TD (-150)

Travis Etienne anytime TD (-130)

Sam LaPorta (o46.5 receiving yards)

NFL Best Bets - Week 4

Let’s not talk about last week. If you lost money because of me, I apologize. But blame yourself for listening to me. This is redemption week.. Listen up winners, I got the picks to lock in if you want to cash out on the equivalent of an all inclusive trip Cancun!

Favorite of the Week

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) @ Houston Texans

The Texans are coming off an upset that shocked most of the NFL. Stroud looks composed and polished. But what’s going to change from last week is the pressure the young QB will see. The edge presence of both Alex Highsmith, who ranked top 10 in pressure up until this week, and TJ Watt, is going to be a major difference maker. What the Steelers lack in secondary they make up for in their front seven. Stroud played with a clean pocket last week and I don’t think that’s going to be the same. The game will be closer than people think, but Pittsburgh is a better team.

Upset of the Week

Washington Commanders (+8.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have been atop the NFC, but they look extremely different from last year. Their defense is a good as ever and they got a steal when they selected Jalen Carter in the draft. But there is a glaring contrast in their offense. Last year after 3 weeks, Hurts had almost 1000 passing yards and 7 total touchdowns. Through 3 weeks now, Hurts has eclipsed 200 passing yards just once and that was in week 3. The playcalling appears to be a little conservative compared to the previous season. With that being said, the Commanders in their first 2 weeks looked like a different offense. Bienemy has done wonders for Howell and those skill players. Albeit they got dominated by a top 5 Buffalo defense last week, they are going to bounce back this week. The Eagles gave up 20 to the patriots with subpar qb play from Mac.

Game of the Week

Dallas Cowboys (-6.5) vs. New England Patriots

Everybody can lose a game - no team is perfect. This team goes only as far as Dak Prescott plays. Last week the Cowboys got embarrassed by the Alopecia Admiral Josh Dobbs. But going back to Dallas against a struggling patriots offense does not bode well for New England. Right now the defense is firing. Last week’s loss in my opinion was because of the mistakes Dak made. I expect Dak to take some accountability for his mistakes and atone for them by protecting the football and being composed. The Patriots have lost by 5 points or through both of their losses this year. When the Cowboys are prepared to make a statement, they MAKE A STATEMENT. This is that week. 

PROP PICKS

Courtland Sutton o58.5 receiving yards

Michael Pittman o60.5 receiving yards

TJ Hockenson +165 anytime touchdown

Week 3 NFL Best Bets

We are getting stronger and strong every week. Last week I went 3-0 in the spreads and 1/3 in the props. We are aiming for 100% this week. That’s the goal. If you were thinking about laying a parlay, this is the week to do so…

Favorite of the Week

Seattle Seahawks (-6) over Carolina Panthers

The combination of Seattle getting back on track last week and the fact that the Panthers don’t have their young rookie QB is a recipe for disaster. Add on top that this game is being played in Seattle, a very difficult place to play. Seattle’s offense should be able to keep this games at arm length for the entirety of the 60 minutes.

Double Favorite of the Week!!

Dallas Cowboys (-12.5) @ Arizona Cardinals

That’s right. No underdog this week. Have you looked at the schedule. Could be a nice Sunday to go out apple picking with your kids….OR you can watch the Dallas Cowboys cover the 12.5 line and demolish Arizona. The Dallas defense has been on another level the first two weeks. I don’t think anyone can block Micah Parsons. And while the injury to Trevon Diggs will hurt, I don’t think Arizona has enough playmakers to make it hurt. This game may be over by halftime.

Best Bet of the Week

Baltimore Ravens (-8) vs. Indianapolis Colts

My third favorite this week consists of another team taking on an injury riddled rookie QB squad. Yes, Gardner Minshew came in last week and led the Colts to a win…against Houston. The Ravens are a different animal and they are playing very well to start the year. We all know how good the Ravens start seasons. This is basically a touchdown spread and I see this game being a 10 point victory for Baltimore.

PROP BETS

Javonte Williams +120 anytime TD scorer

Jakobi Meyers +270 anytime TD scorer

Patrick Mahomes over 285.5 Passing Yards (-114)

While the Dolphin offense has gotten a lot of hype, their defense has still been leaky over the first couple of weeks. Javonte has been ok through the first two games, but I think this is the week he gets on the board. Meyers seemed to be Garoppolos favorite red-zone target in Week 1, and while he returns from a concussion this week, Mike Tomlin always does a good job taking away a team’s first option, so Meyers could score in this one. The Patrick Mahomes one….just do it.