NFL Best Bets - Week 4

Let’s not talk about last week. If you lost money because of me, I apologize. But blame yourself for listening to me. This is redemption week.. Listen up winners, I got the picks to lock in if you want to cash out on the equivalent of an all inclusive trip Cancun!

Favorite of the Week

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) @ Houston Texans

The Texans are coming off an upset that shocked most of the NFL. Stroud looks composed and polished. But what’s going to change from last week is the pressure the young QB will see. The edge presence of both Alex Highsmith, who ranked top 10 in pressure up until this week, and TJ Watt, is going to be a major difference maker. What the Steelers lack in secondary they make up for in their front seven. Stroud played with a clean pocket last week and I don’t think that’s going to be the same. The game will be closer than people think, but Pittsburgh is a better team.

Upset of the Week

Washington Commanders (+8.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles have been atop the NFC, but they look extremely different from last year. Their defense is a good as ever and they got a steal when they selected Jalen Carter in the draft. But there is a glaring contrast in their offense. Last year after 3 weeks, Hurts had almost 1000 passing yards and 7 total touchdowns. Through 3 weeks now, Hurts has eclipsed 200 passing yards just once and that was in week 3. The playcalling appears to be a little conservative compared to the previous season. With that being said, the Commanders in their first 2 weeks looked like a different offense. Bienemy has done wonders for Howell and those skill players. Albeit they got dominated by a top 5 Buffalo defense last week, they are going to bounce back this week. The Eagles gave up 20 to the patriots with subpar qb play from Mac.

Game of the Week

Dallas Cowboys (-6.5) vs. New England Patriots

Everybody can lose a game - no team is perfect. This team goes only as far as Dak Prescott plays. Last week the Cowboys got embarrassed by the Alopecia Admiral Josh Dobbs. But going back to Dallas against a struggling patriots offense does not bode well for New England. Right now the defense is firing. Last week’s loss in my opinion was because of the mistakes Dak made. I expect Dak to take some accountability for his mistakes and atone for them by protecting the football and being composed. The Patriots have lost by 5 points or through both of their losses this year. When the Cowboys are prepared to make a statement, they MAKE A STATEMENT. This is that week. 

PROP PICKS

Courtland Sutton o58.5 receiving yards

Michael Pittman o60.5 receiving yards

TJ Hockenson +165 anytime touchdown