Week 5 NFL Best Bets
After the disaster of Week 3, we are trending in the right direction going into Week 5. Last week we nailed 2/3 spreads while going with another 0 for on the props. We all hit slumps during the season. After a hot start, I’m facing a little adversity. But much like the best of the best in the NFL, I plan on making my comeback - here is your Week 5 slate:
UPSET OF THE WEEK
Indianapolis Colts (+2.5) over Tennessee Titans
The Colts being a home dog to the Titans is a little weird considering how close their games have been this year. Jonathan Taylor is back. But a Titans team walks in that has been dominated and then dominated themselves in the previous two weeks. One thing to note here - the Colts struggled against DeShaun two weeks ago and his mobility. And the one thing that Anthony Richardson has done so far this season is be able to get out in space and run the football. Couple that with the fact that Harold Landry hasn’t been able to get off to the start he wanted to coming off his injury, and I like the Colts in a close one.
FAVORITE OF THE WEEK
Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) over Minnesota Vikings
The Chiefs played a real good Jets defense last weekend, and it showed. Patrick. Mahomes got outplayed by Zach Wilson. That’s a fact. Are we betting on that happening two weeks in a row? There is something to Mahomes getting worked by elite defenses (which proves he’s human), but that is what the Minnesota Vikings don’t have. Last week was a good showing, but it was agains the only winless team in the league (Panthers). One of the biggest surprises in the NFL is the Chiefs defense, which is Top 5 right now. Who had Trent McDuffie vs. Justin Jefferson on their bingo card as matchup to watch? I expect Mahomes and the Chiefs to handle the Vikes.
GAME OF THE WEEK
Detroit Lions (-9.5) over Carolina Panthers
The Panthers are now the worst team in football after the Bears win Thursday night. And yes, the Lions are going to be missing Jahmyr Gibbs and Amon-Ra St. Brown (most likely). The Panthers are so bad it doesn’t matter. Watch out for Aidan Hutchinson today as he might beat Carolina by himself. He really affected the game last week against the Packers and I expect him to do the same today vs. a young Bryce Young and ineffective Panthers offensive line. On the offensive side, the Lions get back Jameson Williams and it will be interesting to see who is the number one target with Amon-Ra not suiting up. Look out for Josh Reynolds and Sam Laporta.
PROP BETS
Lamar Jackson +140 anytime touchdown scorer (rushing)
James Conner -140 anytime touchdown scorer
Sam LaPorta o52.5 receiving yards